TROPHY GAMES (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.93
| 4H7 Stock | 0.92 0.05 5.15% |
TROPHY |
TROPHY GAMES Target Price Odds to finish over 0.93
The tendency of TROPHY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 0.93 or more in 90 days |
| 0.92 | 90 days | 0.93 | about 91.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TROPHY GAMES to move over 0.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.29 (This TROPHY GAMES DEV probability density function shows the probability of TROPHY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TROPHY GAMES DEV price to stay between its current price of 0.92 and 0.93 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon TROPHY GAMES has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TROPHY GAMES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TROPHY GAMES DEV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TROPHY GAMES DEV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TROPHY GAMES Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TROPHY GAMES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TROPHY GAMES DEV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TROPHY GAMES Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TROPHY GAMES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TROPHY GAMES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TROPHY GAMES DEV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TROPHY GAMES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
TROPHY GAMES Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TROPHY GAMES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TROPHY GAMES DEV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TROPHY GAMES DEV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TROPHY GAMES DEV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
TROPHY GAMES Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TROPHY Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TROPHY GAMES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TROPHY GAMES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 152 K |
TROPHY GAMES Technical Analysis
TROPHY GAMES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TROPHY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TROPHY GAMES DEV. In general, you should focus on analyzing TROPHY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TROPHY GAMES Predictive Forecast Models
TROPHY GAMES's time-series forecasting models is one of many TROPHY GAMES's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TROPHY GAMES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TROPHY GAMES DEV
Checking the ongoing alerts about TROPHY GAMES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TROPHY GAMES DEV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TROPHY GAMES DEV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TROPHY GAMES DEV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in TROPHY Stock
TROPHY GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether TROPHY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TROPHY with respect to the benefits of owning TROPHY GAMES security.