Iron Road (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.031

4OV Stock  EUR 0.03  0  13.33%   
Iron Road's future price is the expected price of Iron Road instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iron Road Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iron Road Backtesting, Iron Road Valuation, Iron Road Correlation, Iron Road Hype Analysis, Iron Road Volatility, Iron Road History as well as Iron Road Performance.
  
Please specify Iron Road's target price for which you would like Iron Road odds to be computed.

Iron Road Target Price Odds to finish below 0.031

The tendency of Iron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 0.03  after 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 88.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iron Road to stay under € 0.03  after 90 days from now is about 88.13 (This Iron Road Limited probability density function shows the probability of Iron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iron Road Limited price to stay between its current price of € 0.03  and € 0.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Iron Road Limited has a beta of -3.05. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Iron Road Limited are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Iron Road is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Iron Road Limited has an alpha of 0.7539, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Iron Road Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iron Road

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iron Road Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.039.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.029.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00050.039.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.03
Details

Iron Road Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iron Road is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iron Road's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iron Road Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iron Road within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.05
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Iron Road Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iron Road for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iron Road Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Road Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Iron Road Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Iron Road Limited has accumulated 2.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.7, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Iron Road Limited has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Iron Road until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Iron Road's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Iron Road Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Iron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Iron Road's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 38. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.
Iron Road Limited has accumulated about 119.38 K in cash with (2.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of Iron Road shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Iron Road Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iron Road's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iron Road's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding799 M

Iron Road Technical Analysis

Iron Road's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iron Road Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iron Road Predictive Forecast Models

Iron Road's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iron Road's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iron Road's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iron Road Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iron Road for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iron Road Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Road Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Iron Road Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Iron Road Limited has accumulated 2.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.7, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Iron Road Limited has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Iron Road until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Iron Road's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Iron Road Limited sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Iron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Iron Road's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 38. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.
Iron Road Limited has accumulated about 119.38 K in cash with (2.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 72.0% of Iron Road shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in Iron Stock

Iron Road financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iron with respect to the benefits of owning Iron Road security.