Siamgas (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0009

4QVA Stock   0.18  0.01  5.88%   
Siamgas' future price is the expected price of Siamgas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Siamgas And Petrochemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Siamgas Backtesting, Siamgas Valuation, Siamgas Correlation, Siamgas Hype Analysis, Siamgas Volatility, Siamgas History as well as Siamgas Performance.
  
Please specify Siamgas' target price for which you would like Siamgas odds to be computed.

Siamgas Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0009

The tendency of Siamgas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.0009  or more in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 0.0009 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siamgas to drop to  0.0009  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Siamgas And Petrochemicals probability density function shows the probability of Siamgas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siamgas And Petroche price to stay between  0.0009  and its current price of 0.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Siamgas will likely underperform. Additionally Siamgas And Petrochemicals has an alpha of 0.0797, implying that it can generate a 0.0797 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Siamgas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Siamgas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siamgas And Petroche. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.184.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.154.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.184.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.170.180.19
Details

Siamgas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siamgas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siamgas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siamgas And Petrochemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siamgas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.81
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Siamgas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siamgas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siamgas And Petroche can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siamgas And Petroche has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Siamgas And Petroche had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Siamgas Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siamgas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siamgas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siamgas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Dividends Paid1.9 B
Short Long Term Debt8.8 B

Siamgas Technical Analysis

Siamgas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siamgas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siamgas And Petrochemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siamgas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Siamgas Predictive Forecast Models

Siamgas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Siamgas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siamgas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Siamgas And Petroche

Checking the ongoing alerts about Siamgas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siamgas And Petroche help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Siamgas And Petroche has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Siamgas And Petroche had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for Siamgas Stock Analysis

When running Siamgas' price analysis, check to measure Siamgas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Siamgas is operating at the current time. Most of Siamgas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Siamgas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Siamgas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Siamgas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.