SOL-GEL TECHN (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| 4SG Stock | EUR 0.39 0.04 11.43% |
SOL-GEL |
SOL-GEL TECHN Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of SOL-GEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.39 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOL-GEL TECHN to drop to € 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 probability density function shows the probability of SOL-GEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOL GEL TECHN price to stay between € 0.02 and its current price of €0.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 has a beta of -0.0231. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SOL-GEL TECHN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SOL-GEL TECHN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SOL-GEL TECHN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOL GEL TECHN. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SOL-GEL TECHN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOL-GEL TECHN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOL-GEL TECHN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOL GEL TECHN IS 10, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOL-GEL TECHN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
SOL-GEL TECHN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOL-GEL TECHN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOL GEL TECHN can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SOL GEL TECHN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SOL GEL TECHN has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SOL GEL TECHN has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.89 M. | |
| SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 has accumulated about 38.88 M in cash with (27.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
SOL-GEL TECHN Technical Analysis
SOL-GEL TECHN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOL-GEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOL GEL TECHN IS 10. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOL-GEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SOL-GEL TECHN Predictive Forecast Models
SOL-GEL TECHN's time-series forecasting models is one of many SOL-GEL TECHN's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SOL-GEL TECHN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SOL GEL TECHN
Checking the ongoing alerts about SOL-GEL TECHN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOL GEL TECHN help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SOL GEL TECHN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SOL GEL TECHN has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SOL GEL TECHN has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.89 M. | |
| SOL GEL TECHN IS 10 has accumulated about 38.88 M in cash with (27.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.69, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in SOL-GEL Stock
SOL-GEL TECHN financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOL-GEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOL-GEL with respect to the benefits of owning SOL-GEL TECHN security.