Sinotruk (Hong (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.72

4SK Stock  EUR 2.72  0.10  3.55%   
Sinotruk (Hong's future price is the expected price of Sinotruk (Hong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sinotruk Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sinotruk (Hong Backtesting, Sinotruk (Hong Valuation, Sinotruk (Hong Correlation, Sinotruk (Hong Hype Analysis, Sinotruk (Hong Volatility, Sinotruk (Hong History as well as Sinotruk (Hong Performance.
  
Please specify Sinotruk (Hong's target price for which you would like Sinotruk (Hong odds to be computed.

Sinotruk (Hong Target Price Odds to finish over 2.72

The tendency of Sinotruk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.72 90 days 2.72 
about 16.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sinotruk (Hong to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.57 (This Sinotruk Limited probability density function shows the probability of Sinotruk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sinotruk Limited has a beta of -0.0726. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sinotruk (Hong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sinotruk Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sinotruk Limited has an alpha of 0.9212, implying that it can generate a 0.92 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sinotruk (Hong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sinotruk (Hong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinotruk Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.728.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.488.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.908.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.532.712.89
Details

Sinotruk (Hong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sinotruk (Hong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sinotruk (Hong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sinotruk Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sinotruk (Hong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.92
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Sinotruk (Hong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sinotruk (Hong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sinotruk Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sinotruk Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sinotruk Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sinotruk Limited has accumulated about 2.42 B in cash with (3.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88.

Sinotruk (Hong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sinotruk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sinotruk (Hong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sinotruk (Hong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B

Sinotruk (Hong Technical Analysis

Sinotruk (Hong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sinotruk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sinotruk Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sinotruk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sinotruk (Hong Predictive Forecast Models

Sinotruk (Hong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sinotruk (Hong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sinotruk (Hong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sinotruk Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sinotruk (Hong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sinotruk Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sinotruk Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Sinotruk Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Sinotruk Limited has accumulated about 2.42 B in cash with (3.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.88.

Other Information on Investing in Sinotruk Stock

Sinotruk (Hong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinotruk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinotruk with respect to the benefits of owning Sinotruk (Hong security.