TAIGA BUILDING (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.56

4T7 Stock  EUR 2.48  0.04  1.59%   
TAIGA BUILDING's future price is the expected price of TAIGA BUILDING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TAIGA BUILDING PRODS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TAIGA BUILDING Backtesting, TAIGA BUILDING Valuation, TAIGA BUILDING Correlation, TAIGA BUILDING Hype Analysis, TAIGA BUILDING Volatility, TAIGA BUILDING History as well as TAIGA BUILDING Performance.
  
Please specify TAIGA BUILDING's target price for which you would like TAIGA BUILDING odds to be computed.

TAIGA BUILDING Target Price Odds to finish over 2.56

The tendency of TAIGA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 2.56  or more in 90 days
 2.48 90 days 2.56 
nearly 4.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAIGA BUILDING to move over € 2.56  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.9 (This TAIGA BUILDING PRODS probability density function shows the probability of TAIGA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TAIGA BUILDING PRODS price to stay between its current price of € 2.48  and € 2.56  at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TAIGA BUILDING has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TAIGA BUILDING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TAIGA BUILDING PRODS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TAIGA BUILDING PRODS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TAIGA BUILDING Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TAIGA BUILDING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAIGA BUILDING PRODS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.212.484.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.144.41
Details

TAIGA BUILDING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAIGA BUILDING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAIGA BUILDING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAIGA BUILDING PRODS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAIGA BUILDING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0035
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

TAIGA BUILDING Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAIGA BUILDING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAIGA BUILDING PRODS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

TAIGA BUILDING Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TAIGA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TAIGA BUILDING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAIGA BUILDING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float30.5 M

TAIGA BUILDING Technical Analysis

TAIGA BUILDING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAIGA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAIGA BUILDING PRODS. In general, you should focus on analyzing TAIGA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TAIGA BUILDING Predictive Forecast Models

TAIGA BUILDING's time-series forecasting models is one of many TAIGA BUILDING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAIGA BUILDING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TAIGA BUILDING PRODS

Checking the ongoing alerts about TAIGA BUILDING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAIGA BUILDING PRODS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in TAIGA Stock

TAIGA BUILDING financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAIGA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAIGA with respect to the benefits of owning TAIGA BUILDING security.