AVIC Fund (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.83
| 508096 Stock | 10.05 0.02 0.20% |
AVIC |
AVIC Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 10.83
The tendency of AVIC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 10.83 or more in 90 days |
| 10.05 | 90 days | 10.83 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AVIC Fund to move over 10.83 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This AVIC Fund Management probability density function shows the probability of AVIC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AVIC Fund Management price to stay between its current price of 10.05 and 10.83 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AVIC Fund Management has a beta of -0.0339. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AVIC Fund are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AVIC Fund Management is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AVIC Fund Management has an alpha of 0.0097, implying that it can generate a 0.009662 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AVIC Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AVIC Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AVIC Fund Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AVIC Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AVIC Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AVIC Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AVIC Fund Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AVIC Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
AVIC Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AVIC Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AVIC Fund Management can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think AVIC Airborne Systems Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt - Simply Wall St |
AVIC Fund Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AVIC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AVIC Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AVIC Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.1554 |
AVIC Fund Technical Analysis
AVIC Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AVIC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AVIC Fund Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing AVIC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AVIC Fund Predictive Forecast Models
AVIC Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many AVIC Fund's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AVIC Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AVIC Fund Management
Checking the ongoing alerts about AVIC Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AVIC Fund Management help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: We Think AVIC Airborne Systems Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in AVIC Stock
AVIC Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether AVIC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AVIC with respect to the benefits of owning AVIC Fund security.