HYGEIA HC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.68
| 50I Stock | EUR 1.75 0.07 3.85% |
HYGEIA |
HYGEIA HC Target Price Odds to finish below 1.68
The tendency of HYGEIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.68 or more in 90 days |
| 1.75 | 90 days | 1.68 | about 13.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HYGEIA HC to drop to € 1.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.43 (This HYGEIA HC HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of HYGEIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HYGEIA HC HLDGS price to stay between € 1.68 and its current price of €1.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HYGEIA HC HLDGS has a beta of -0.52. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HYGEIA HC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HYGEIA HC HLDGS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HYGEIA HC HLDGS has an alpha of 0.005, implying that it can generate a 0.004957 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HYGEIA HC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HYGEIA HC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HYGEIA HC HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HYGEIA HC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HYGEIA HC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HYGEIA HC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HYGEIA HC HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HYGEIA HC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
HYGEIA HC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HYGEIA HC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HYGEIA HC HLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HYGEIA HC HLDGS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HYGEIA HC HLDGS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| HYGEIA HC HLDGS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
HYGEIA HC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HYGEIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HYGEIA HC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HYGEIA HC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 259.8 M |
HYGEIA HC Technical Analysis
HYGEIA HC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HYGEIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HYGEIA HC HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing HYGEIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HYGEIA HC Predictive Forecast Models
HYGEIA HC's time-series forecasting models is one of many HYGEIA HC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HYGEIA HC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HYGEIA HC HLDGS
Checking the ongoing alerts about HYGEIA HC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HYGEIA HC HLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HYGEIA HC HLDGS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HYGEIA HC HLDGS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| HYGEIA HC HLDGS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in HYGEIA Stock
HYGEIA HC financial ratios help investors to determine whether HYGEIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HYGEIA with respect to the benefits of owning HYGEIA HC security.