Al Aqar (Malaysia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.46
| 5116 Stock | 1.37 0.02 1.44% |
5116 |
Al Aqar Target Price Odds to finish below 0.46
The tendency of 5116 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.46 or more in 90 days |
| 1.37 | 90 days | 0.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Al Aqar to drop to 0.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Al Aqar Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of 5116 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Al Aqar Healthcare price to stay between 0.46 and its current price of 1.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Al Aqar has a beta of 0.0965. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Al Aqar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Al Aqar Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Al Aqar Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0387, implying that it can generate a 0.0387 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Al Aqar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Al Aqar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Al Aqar Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Al Aqar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Al Aqar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Al Aqar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Al Aqar Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Al Aqar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Al Aqar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Al Aqar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Al Aqar Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Al Aqar Healthcare may become a speculative penny stock |
Al Aqar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 5116 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Al Aqar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Al Aqar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 736 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 54.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 89.8 M |
Al Aqar Technical Analysis
Al Aqar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 5116 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Al Aqar Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing 5116 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Al Aqar Predictive Forecast Models
Al Aqar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Al Aqar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Al Aqar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Al Aqar Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Al Aqar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Al Aqar Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Al Aqar Healthcare may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in 5116 Stock
Al Aqar financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5116 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5116 with respect to the benefits of owning Al Aqar security.