CCB Principal (China) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 100.04
| 511660 Etf | 100.02 0.01 0.01% |
CCB |
CCB Principal Target Price Odds to finish over 100.04
The tendency of CCB Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 100.04 or more in 90 days |
| 100.02 | 90 days | 100.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CCB Principal to move over 100.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CCB Principal Asset probability density function shows the probability of CCB Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CCB Principal Asset price to stay between its current price of 100.02 and 100.04 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CCB Principal Asset has a beta of -0.0017. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CCB Principal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CCB Principal Asset is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CCB Principal Asset has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CCB Principal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CCB Principal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CCB Principal Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CCB Principal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CCB Principal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CCB Principal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CCB Principal Asset.CCB Principal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CCB Principal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CCB Principal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CCB Principal Asset, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CCB Principal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0095 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0017 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -13.15 |
CCB Principal Technical Analysis
CCB Principal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CCB Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CCB Principal Asset. In general, you should focus on analyzing CCB Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CCB Principal Predictive Forecast Models
CCB Principal's time-series forecasting models is one of many CCB Principal's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CCB Principal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards CCB Principal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, CCB Principal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from CCB Principal options trading.