Berjaya Food (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.38
| 5196 Stock | 0.36 0.03 7.69% |
Berjaya |
Berjaya Food Target Price Odds to finish below 0.38
The tendency of Berjaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.38 after 90 days |
| 0.36 | 90 days | 0.38 | about 19.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berjaya Food to stay under 0.38 after 90 days from now is about 19.99 (This Berjaya Food Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Berjaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berjaya Food Bhd price to stay between its current price of 0.36 and 0.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Berjaya Food has a beta of 0.9. This suggests Berjaya Food Bhd market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Berjaya Food is expected to follow. Additionally Berjaya Food Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Berjaya Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Berjaya Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berjaya Food Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berjaya Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berjaya Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berjaya Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berjaya Food Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berjaya Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Berjaya Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berjaya Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berjaya Food Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berjaya Food Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berjaya Food Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Berjaya Food Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Berjaya Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berjaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berjaya Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berjaya Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 16.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 109 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.7 M |
Berjaya Food Technical Analysis
Berjaya Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berjaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berjaya Food Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berjaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berjaya Food Predictive Forecast Models
Berjaya Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berjaya Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berjaya Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berjaya Food Bhd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berjaya Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berjaya Food Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berjaya Food Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berjaya Food Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Berjaya Food Bhd has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Berjaya Stock
Berjaya Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Berjaya Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Berjaya with respect to the benefits of owning Berjaya Food security.