American Public (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.3
| 51A Stock | EUR 19.20 0.10 0.52% |
American |
American Public Target Price Odds to finish below 12.3
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 12.30 or more in 90 days |
| 19.20 | 90 days | 12.30 | about 17.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Public to drop to € 12.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.12 (This American Public Education probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Public Education price to stay between € 12.30 and its current price of €19.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Public Education has a beta of -0.0704. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Public Education is likely to outperform the market. Additionally American Public Education has an alpha of 0.4351, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Public Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Public Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
American Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Public Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
American Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.7 M |
American Public Technical Analysis
American Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Public Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Public Predictive Forecast Models
American Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Public Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Public Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Public had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Public has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in American Stock
When determining whether American Public Education offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Public's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Public Education Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Public Education Stock:Check out American Public Backtesting, American Public Valuation, American Public Correlation, American Public Hype Analysis, American Public Volatility, American Public History as well as American Public Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.