Ko Ja (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.6
| 5215 Stock | TWD 47.40 1.10 2.27% |
5215 |
Ko Ja Target Price Odds to finish below 51.6
The tendency of 5215 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 51.60 after 90 days |
| 47.40 | 90 days | 51.60 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ko Ja to stay under NT$ 51.60 after 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Ko Ja Cayman probability density function shows the probability of 5215 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ko Ja Cayman price to stay between its current price of NT$ 47.40 and NT$ 51.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ko Ja Cayman has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ko Ja are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ko Ja Cayman is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ko Ja Cayman has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ko Ja Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ko Ja
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ko Ja Cayman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ko Ja Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ko Ja is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ko Ja's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ko Ja Cayman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ko Ja within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Ko Ja Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ko Ja for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ko Ja Cayman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ko Ja Cayman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ko Ja Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 5215 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ko Ja's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ko Ja's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.3 M |
Ko Ja Technical Analysis
Ko Ja's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 5215 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ko Ja Cayman. In general, you should focus on analyzing 5215 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ko Ja Predictive Forecast Models
Ko Ja's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ko Ja's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ko Ja's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ko Ja Cayman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ko Ja for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ko Ja Cayman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ko Ja Cayman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for 5215 Stock Analysis
When running Ko Ja's price analysis, check to measure Ko Ja's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ko Ja is operating at the current time. Most of Ko Ja's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ko Ja's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ko Ja's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ko Ja to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.