Sunfun Info (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.1
| 5278 Stock | TWD 38.60 6.65 20.81% |
Sunfun |
Sunfun Info Target Price Odds to finish below 31.1
The tendency of Sunfun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 31.10 or more in 90 days |
| 38.60 | 90 days | 31.10 | about 41.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunfun Info to drop to NT$ 31.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.38 (This Sunfun Info Co probability density function shows the probability of Sunfun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunfun Info price to stay between NT$ 31.10 and its current price of NT$38.6 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sunfun Info Co has a beta of -38103.0. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Sunfun Info Co are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Sunfun Info is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Sunfun Info Co has an alpha of 119462.2442, implying that it can generate a 119462.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sunfun Info Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Sunfun Info
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunfun Info. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sunfun Info Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunfun Info is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunfun Info's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunfun Info Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunfun Info within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 119,462 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -38,103 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 209,889 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Sunfun Info Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunfun Info for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunfun Info can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sunfun Info is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sunfun Info appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Sunfun Info Technical Analysis
Sunfun Info's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunfun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunfun Info Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunfun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sunfun Info Predictive Forecast Models
Sunfun Info's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunfun Info's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunfun Info's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sunfun Info
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunfun Info for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunfun Info help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sunfun Info is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sunfun Info appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Sunfun Stock Analysis
When running Sunfun Info's price analysis, check to measure Sunfun Info's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunfun Info is operating at the current time. Most of Sunfun Info's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunfun Info's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunfun Info's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunfun Info to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.