Techbond Group (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.38

5289 Stock   0.38  0.01  2.56%   
Techbond Group's future price is the expected price of Techbond Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Techbond Group Bhd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Techbond Group Backtesting, Techbond Group Valuation, Techbond Group Correlation, Techbond Group Hype Analysis, Techbond Group Volatility, Techbond Group History as well as Techbond Group Performance.
  
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Techbond Group Target Price Odds to finish over 0.38

The tendency of Techbond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.38 90 days 0.38 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techbond Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Techbond Group Bhd probability density function shows the probability of Techbond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Techbond Group Bhd has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Techbond Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Techbond Group Bhd is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Techbond Group Bhd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Techbond Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Techbond Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techbond Group Bhd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.382.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.332.30
Details

Techbond Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techbond Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techbond Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techbond Group Bhd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techbond Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Techbond Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Techbond Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Techbond Group Bhd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techbond Group Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Techbond Group Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Techbond Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Techbond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Techbond Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Techbond Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding529.4 M
Dividends Paid2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments39.1 M

Techbond Group Technical Analysis

Techbond Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techbond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techbond Group Bhd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techbond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Techbond Group Predictive Forecast Models

Techbond Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Techbond Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techbond Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Techbond Group Bhd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Techbond Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Techbond Group Bhd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Techbond Group Bhd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Techbond Group Bhd has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Techbond Stock

Techbond Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techbond Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techbond with respect to the benefits of owning Techbond Group security.