Vate Technology (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.95

5344 Stock  TWD 17.65  0.15  0.86%   
Vate Technology's future price is the expected price of Vate Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vate Technology Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vate Technology Backtesting, Vate Technology Valuation, Vate Technology Correlation, Vate Technology Hype Analysis, Vate Technology Volatility, Vate Technology History as well as Vate Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Vate Technology's target price for which you would like Vate Technology odds to be computed.

Vate Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 24.95

The tendency of Vate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 24.95  or more in 90 days
 17.65 90 days 24.95 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vate Technology to move over NT$ 24.95  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vate Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of Vate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vate Technology price to stay between its current price of NT$ 17.65  and NT$ 24.95  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vate Technology has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Vate Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vate Technology Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vate Technology Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vate Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vate Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vate Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6617.6519.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6517.6419.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.7717.7619.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.4717.7117.95
Details

Vate Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vate Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vate Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vate Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vate Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Vate Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vate Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vate Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vate Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Vate Technology Technical Analysis

Vate Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vate Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vate Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Vate Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vate Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vate Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vate Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vate Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vate Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vate Technology has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Vate Stock Analysis

When running Vate Technology's price analysis, check to measure Vate Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vate Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Vate Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vate Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vate Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vate Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.