Sercomm Corp (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 95.81
| 5388 Stock | TWD 109.00 2.00 1.80% |
Sercomm |
Sercomm Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 95.81
The tendency of Sercomm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 95.81 or more in 90 days |
| 109.00 | 90 days | 95.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sercomm Corp to drop to NT$ 95.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sercomm Corp probability density function shows the probability of Sercomm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sercomm Corp price to stay between NT$ 95.81 and its current price of NT$109.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sercomm Corp has a beta of 0.64. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sercomm Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sercomm Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sercomm Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sercomm Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sercomm Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sercomm Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sercomm Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sercomm Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sercomm Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sercomm Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sercomm Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Sercomm Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sercomm Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sercomm Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sercomm Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sercomm Corp has accumulated about 5.92 B in cash with (2.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.02. |
Sercomm Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sercomm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sercomm Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sercomm Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 252.4 M |
Sercomm Corp Technical Analysis
Sercomm Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sercomm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sercomm Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sercomm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sercomm Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Sercomm Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sercomm Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sercomm Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sercomm Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sercomm Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sercomm Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sercomm Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sercomm Corp has accumulated about 5.92 B in cash with (2.78 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.02. |
Additional Tools for Sercomm Stock Analysis
When running Sercomm Corp's price analysis, check to measure Sercomm Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sercomm Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Sercomm Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sercomm Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sercomm Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sercomm Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.