ADT (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.61
| 541 Stock | EUR 6.50 0.05 0.76% |
ADT |
ADT Target Price Odds to finish over 6.61
The tendency of ADT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 6.61 or more in 90 days |
| 6.50 | 90 days | 6.61 | about 64.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADT to move over € 6.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.89 (This ADT Inc probability density function shows the probability of ADT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ADT Inc price to stay between its current price of € 6.50 and € 6.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ADT has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ADT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ADT Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ADT Inc has an alpha of 0.0295, implying that it can generate a 0.0295 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ADT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ADT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ADT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
ADT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ADT Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ADT Inc has accumulated 8.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.3, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ADT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ADT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ADT Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ADT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ADT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of ADT shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
ADT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 916.8 M |
ADT Technical Analysis
ADT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADT Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ADT Predictive Forecast Models
ADT's time-series forecasting models is one of many ADT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ADT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ADT Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about ADT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ADT Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ADT Inc has accumulated 8.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.3, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. ADT Inc has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ADT until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ADT's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ADT Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ADT to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ADT's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 92.0% of ADT shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ADT Stock
When determining whether ADT Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if ADT Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Adt Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Adt Inc Stock:Check out ADT Backtesting, ADT Valuation, ADT Correlation, ADT Hype Analysis, ADT Volatility, ADT History as well as ADT Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.