Landis Taipei (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.29

5703 Stock  TWD 18.00  0.50  2.70%   
Landis Taipei's future price is the expected price of Landis Taipei instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Landis Taipei Hotel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Landis Taipei Backtesting, Landis Taipei Valuation, Landis Taipei Correlation, Landis Taipei Hype Analysis, Landis Taipei Volatility, Landis Taipei History as well as Landis Taipei Performance.
  
Please specify Landis Taipei's target price for which you would like Landis Taipei odds to be computed.

Landis Taipei Target Price Odds to finish below 18.29

The tendency of Landis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 18.29  after 90 days
 18.00 90 days 18.29 
about 14.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Landis Taipei to stay under NT$ 18.29  after 90 days from now is about 14.91 (This Landis Taipei Hotel probability density function shows the probability of Landis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Landis Taipei Hotel price to stay between its current price of NT$ 18.00  and NT$ 18.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Landis Taipei has a beta of 0.0299. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Landis Taipei average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Landis Taipei Hotel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Landis Taipei Hotel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Landis Taipei Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Landis Taipei

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Landis Taipei Hotel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5518.0019.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5315.9819.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.1818.6320.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.5618.5019.44
Details

Landis Taipei Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Landis Taipei is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Landis Taipei's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Landis Taipei Hotel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Landis Taipei within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Landis Taipei Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Landis Taipei for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Landis Taipei Hotel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Landis Taipei Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Landis Taipei Hotel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Landis Taipei Hotel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Landis Taipei Hotel has accumulated 8.04 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 142.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Landis Taipei Hotel has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Landis Taipei until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Landis Taipei's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Landis Taipei Hotel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Landis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Landis Taipei's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 211.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (124.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.23 M).
Landis Taipei Hotel has accumulated about 330.48 M in cash with (49.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.7.
Roughly 68.0% of Landis Taipei shares are owned by insiders or employees

Landis Taipei Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Landis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Landis Taipei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Landis Taipei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.2 M

Landis Taipei Technical Analysis

Landis Taipei's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Landis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Landis Taipei Hotel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Landis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Landis Taipei Predictive Forecast Models

Landis Taipei's time-series forecasting models is one of many Landis Taipei's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Landis Taipei's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Landis Taipei Hotel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Landis Taipei for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Landis Taipei Hotel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Landis Taipei Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Landis Taipei Hotel has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Landis Taipei Hotel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Landis Taipei Hotel has accumulated 8.04 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 142.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Landis Taipei Hotel has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Landis Taipei until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Landis Taipei's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Landis Taipei Hotel sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Landis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Landis Taipei's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 211.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (124.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (26.23 M).
Landis Taipei Hotel has accumulated about 330.48 M in cash with (49.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.7.
Roughly 68.0% of Landis Taipei shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Landis Stock Analysis

When running Landis Taipei's price analysis, check to measure Landis Taipei's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Landis Taipei is operating at the current time. Most of Landis Taipei's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Landis Taipei's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Landis Taipei's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Landis Taipei to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.