CHUGOKU EL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.4
| 59K Stock | EUR 5.35 0.05 0.93% |
CHUGOKU |
CHUGOKU EL Target Price Odds to finish below 5.4
The tendency of CHUGOKU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 5.40 after 90 days |
| 5.35 | 90 days | 5.40 | about 1.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CHUGOKU EL to stay under € 5.40 after 90 days from now is about 1.56 (This CHUGOKU EL PWR probability density function shows the probability of CHUGOKU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CHUGOKU EL PWR price to stay between its current price of € 5.35 and € 5.40 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CHUGOKU EL PWR has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CHUGOKU EL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CHUGOKU EL PWR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CHUGOKU EL PWR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CHUGOKU EL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for CHUGOKU EL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CHUGOKU EL PWR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CHUGOKU EL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CHUGOKU EL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CHUGOKU EL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CHUGOKU EL PWR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CHUGOKU EL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
CHUGOKU EL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CHUGOKU EL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CHUGOKU EL PWR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CHUGOKU EL PWR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHUGOKU EL PWR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CHUGOKU EL PWR has accumulated 2.26 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.46, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. CHUGOKU EL PWR has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHUGOKU EL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHUGOKU EL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHUGOKU EL PWR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHUGOKU to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHUGOKU EL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 12.0% of CHUGOKU EL shares are owned by insiders or employees |
CHUGOKU EL Technical Analysis
CHUGOKU EL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CHUGOKU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CHUGOKU EL PWR. In general, you should focus on analyzing CHUGOKU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CHUGOKU EL Predictive Forecast Models
CHUGOKU EL's time-series forecasting models is one of many CHUGOKU EL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CHUGOKU EL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CHUGOKU EL PWR
Checking the ongoing alerts about CHUGOKU EL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CHUGOKU EL PWR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CHUGOKU EL PWR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CHUGOKU EL PWR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| CHUGOKU EL PWR has accumulated 2.26 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.46, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. CHUGOKU EL PWR has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CHUGOKU EL until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CHUGOKU EL's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CHUGOKU EL PWR sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CHUGOKU to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CHUGOKU EL's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 12.0% of CHUGOKU EL shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in CHUGOKU Stock
CHUGOKU EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether CHUGOKU Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CHUGOKU with respect to the benefits of owning CHUGOKU EL security.