TAMURA P (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.99

5IA Stock  EUR 3.00  0.02  0.66%   
TAMURA P's future price is the expected price of TAMURA P instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TAMURA P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TAMURA P Backtesting, TAMURA P Valuation, TAMURA P Correlation, TAMURA P Hype Analysis, TAMURA P Volatility, TAMURA P History as well as TAMURA P Performance.
  
Please specify TAMURA P's target price for which you would like TAMURA P odds to be computed.

TAMURA P Target Price Odds to finish over 2.99

The tendency of TAMURA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.99  in 90 days
 3.00 90 days 2.99 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAMURA P to stay above € 2.99  in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This TAMURA P probability density function shows the probability of TAMURA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TAMURA P price to stay between € 2.99  and its current price of €3.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TAMURA P has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TAMURA P are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TAMURA P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TAMURA P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TAMURA P Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TAMURA P

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAMURA P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.253.004.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.922.674.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.212.974.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.823.183.54
Details

TAMURA P Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAMURA P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAMURA P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAMURA P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAMURA P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

TAMURA P Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAMURA P for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAMURA P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAMURA P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

TAMURA P Technical Analysis

TAMURA P's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAMURA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAMURA P. In general, you should focus on analyzing TAMURA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TAMURA P Predictive Forecast Models

TAMURA P's time-series forecasting models is one of many TAMURA P's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAMURA P's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TAMURA P

Checking the ongoing alerts about TAMURA P for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAMURA P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAMURA P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in TAMURA Stock

TAMURA P financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAMURA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAMURA with respect to the benefits of owning TAMURA P security.