H-FARM SPA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.48

5JQ Stock  EUR 0.12  0.01  9.09%   
H-FARM SPA's future price is the expected price of H-FARM SPA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of H FARM SPA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out H-FARM SPA Backtesting, H-FARM SPA Valuation, H-FARM SPA Correlation, H-FARM SPA Hype Analysis, H-FARM SPA Volatility, H-FARM SPA History as well as H-FARM SPA Performance.
  
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H-FARM SPA Target Price Odds to finish over 3.48

The tendency of H-FARM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.48  or more in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 3.48 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of H-FARM SPA to move over € 3.48  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This H FARM SPA probability density function shows the probability of H-FARM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of H FARM SPA price to stay between its current price of € 0.12  and € 3.48  at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, H-FARM SPA will likely underperform. Additionally H FARM SPA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   H-FARM SPA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for H-FARM SPA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as H FARM SPA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.123.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.103.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.113.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.100.110.13
Details

H-FARM SPA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. H-FARM SPA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the H-FARM SPA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold H FARM SPA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of H-FARM SPA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

H-FARM SPA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of H-FARM SPA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for H FARM SPA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
H FARM SPA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
H FARM SPA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
H FARM SPA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
H FARM SPA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
H FARM SPA has accumulated 18.23 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. H FARM SPA has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist H-FARM SPA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, H-FARM SPA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like H FARM SPA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for H-FARM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about H-FARM SPA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 55.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.75 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.92 M).
About 38.0% of H-FARM SPA shares are owned by insiders or employees

H-FARM SPA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of H-FARM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential H-FARM SPA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. H-FARM SPA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float79.4 M

H-FARM SPA Technical Analysis

H-FARM SPA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. H-FARM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of H FARM SPA. In general, you should focus on analyzing H-FARM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

H-FARM SPA Predictive Forecast Models

H-FARM SPA's time-series forecasting models is one of many H-FARM SPA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary H-FARM SPA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about H FARM SPA

Checking the ongoing alerts about H-FARM SPA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for H FARM SPA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
H FARM SPA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
H FARM SPA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
H FARM SPA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
H FARM SPA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
H FARM SPA has accumulated 18.23 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. H FARM SPA has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist H-FARM SPA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, H-FARM SPA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like H FARM SPA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for H-FARM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about H-FARM SPA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 55.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.75 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.92 M).
About 38.0% of H-FARM SPA shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in H-FARM Stock

H-FARM SPA financial ratios help investors to determine whether H-FARM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in H-FARM with respect to the benefits of owning H-FARM SPA security.