CapitaLand Investment (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.94

5NU Stock   1.95  0.03  1.56%   
CapitaLand Investment's future price is the expected price of CapitaLand Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CapitaLand Investment Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CapitaLand Investment Backtesting, CapitaLand Investment Valuation, CapitaLand Investment Correlation, CapitaLand Investment Hype Analysis, CapitaLand Investment Volatility, CapitaLand Investment History as well as CapitaLand Investment Performance.
  
Please specify CapitaLand Investment's target price for which you would like CapitaLand Investment odds to be computed.

CapitaLand Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 1.94

The tendency of CapitaLand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.94  or more in 90 days
 1.95 90 days 1.94 
about 34.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CapitaLand Investment to drop to  1.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.24 (This CapitaLand Investment Limited probability density function shows the probability of CapitaLand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CapitaLand Investment price to stay between  1.94  and its current price of 1.95 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon CapitaLand Investment Limited has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CapitaLand Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CapitaLand Investment Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CapitaLand Investment Limited has an alpha of 0.1696, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CapitaLand Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CapitaLand Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CapitaLand Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.321.953.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.031.663.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.301.933.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.911.941.97
Details

CapitaLand Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CapitaLand Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CapitaLand Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CapitaLand Investment Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CapitaLand Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

CapitaLand Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CapitaLand Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CapitaLand Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CapitaLand Investment may become a speculative penny stock
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

CapitaLand Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CapitaLand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CapitaLand Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CapitaLand Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0323

CapitaLand Investment Technical Analysis

CapitaLand Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CapitaLand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CapitaLand Investment Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing CapitaLand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CapitaLand Investment Predictive Forecast Models

CapitaLand Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many CapitaLand Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CapitaLand Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CapitaLand Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about CapitaLand Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CapitaLand Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CapitaLand Investment may become a speculative penny stock
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in CapitaLand Stock

CapitaLand Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether CapitaLand Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CapitaLand with respect to the benefits of owning CapitaLand Investment security.