TOTAL ENERGY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.53
| 5O7 Stock | EUR 7.65 0.15 1.92% |
TOTAL |
TOTAL ENERGY Target Price Odds to finish below 0.53
The tendency of TOTAL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.53 or more in 90 days |
| 7.65 | 90 days | 0.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TOTAL ENERGY to drop to € 0.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TOTAL ENERGY SERVS probability density function shows the probability of TOTAL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TOTAL ENERGY SERVS price to stay between € 0.53 and its current price of €7.65 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TOTAL ENERGY has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, TOTAL ENERGY average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TOTAL ENERGY SERVS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TOTAL ENERGY SERVS has an alpha of 0.2831, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TOTAL ENERGY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TOTAL ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOTAL ENERGY SERVS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TOTAL ENERGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TOTAL ENERGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TOTAL ENERGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TOTAL ENERGY SERVS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TOTAL ENERGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
TOTAL ENERGY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TOTAL ENERGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TOTAL ENERGY SERVS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TOTAL ENERGY SERVS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 682.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.48 M. | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
TOTAL ENERGY Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TOTAL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TOTAL ENERGY's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TOTAL ENERGY's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0266 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.17 | |
| Shares Float | 38.8 M |
TOTAL ENERGY Technical Analysis
TOTAL ENERGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TOTAL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TOTAL ENERGY SERVS. In general, you should focus on analyzing TOTAL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TOTAL ENERGY Predictive Forecast Models
TOTAL ENERGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many TOTAL ENERGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TOTAL ENERGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TOTAL ENERGY SERVS
Checking the ongoing alerts about TOTAL ENERGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TOTAL ENERGY SERVS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TOTAL ENERGY SERVS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 682.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 100.48 M. | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Other Information on Investing in TOTAL Stock
TOTAL ENERGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether TOTAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TOTAL with respect to the benefits of owning TOTAL ENERGY security.