HYDROFARM HLD (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| 5TUA Stock | EUR 0.60 0.09 13.04% |
HYDROFARM |
HYDROFARM HLD Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of HYDROFARM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 0.60 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HYDROFARM HLD to drop to € 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HYDROFARM HLD GRP probability density function shows the probability of HYDROFARM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HYDROFARM HLD GRP price to stay between € 0.03 and its current price of €0.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HYDROFARM HLD has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, HYDROFARM HLD average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HYDROFARM HLD GRP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HYDROFARM HLD GRP has an alpha of 0.3648, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HYDROFARM HLD Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HYDROFARM HLD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HYDROFARM HLD GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HYDROFARM HLD Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HYDROFARM HLD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HYDROFARM HLD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HYDROFARM HLD GRP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HYDROFARM HLD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
HYDROFARM HLD Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HYDROFARM HLD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HYDROFARM HLD GRP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HYDROFARM HLD GRP is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 393.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.49 M. | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP has accumulated about 60.26 M in cash with (45.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.51, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
HYDROFARM HLD Technical Analysis
HYDROFARM HLD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HYDROFARM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HYDROFARM HLD GRP. In general, you should focus on analyzing HYDROFARM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HYDROFARM HLD Predictive Forecast Models
HYDROFARM HLD's time-series forecasting models is one of many HYDROFARM HLD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HYDROFARM HLD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HYDROFARM HLD GRP
Checking the ongoing alerts about HYDROFARM HLD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HYDROFARM HLD GRP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 393.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 101.49 M. | |
| HYDROFARM HLD GRP has accumulated about 60.26 M in cash with (45.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.51, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in HYDROFARM Stock
HYDROFARM HLD financial ratios help investors to determine whether HYDROFARM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HYDROFARM with respect to the benefits of owning HYDROFARM HLD security.