Zoom Video (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.55
| 5ZM Stock | 78.64 0.44 0.56% |
Zoom |
Zoom Video Target Price Odds to finish below 51.55
The tendency of Zoom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 51.55 or more in 90 days |
| 78.64 | 90 days | 51.55 | about 1.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zoom Video to drop to 51.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.5 (This Zoom Video Communications probability density function shows the probability of Zoom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zoom Video Communications price to stay between 51.55 and its current price of 78.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zoom Video has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zoom Video average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zoom Video Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zoom Video Communications has an alpha of 0.3371, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zoom Video Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zoom Video
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zoom Video Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zoom Video's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Zoom Video Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zoom Video is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zoom Video's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zoom Video Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zoom Video within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Zoom Video Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zoom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zoom Video's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zoom Video's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 292.3 M |
Zoom Video Technical Analysis
Zoom Video's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zoom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zoom Video Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zoom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zoom Video Predictive Forecast Models
Zoom Video's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zoom Video's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zoom Video's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Zoom Video in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Zoom Video's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Zoom Video options trading.
Additional Tools for Zoom Stock Analysis
When running Zoom Video's price analysis, check to measure Zoom Video's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zoom Video is operating at the current time. Most of Zoom Video's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zoom Video's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zoom Video's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zoom Video to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.