Hua Xia (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.14
| 600015 Stock | 7.25 0.07 0.97% |
Hua |
Hua Xia Target Price Odds to finish below 5.14
The tendency of Hua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 5.14 or more in 90 days |
| 7.25 | 90 days | 5.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hua Xia to drop to 5.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hua Xia Bank probability density function shows the probability of Hua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hua Xia Bank price to stay between 5.14 and its current price of 7.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hua Xia Bank has a beta of -0.55. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hua Xia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hua Xia Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hua Xia Bank has an alpha of 0.3089, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hua Xia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hua Xia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hua Xia Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hua Xia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hua Xia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hua Xia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hua Xia Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hua Xia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hua Xia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hua Xia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hua Xia Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Hua Xia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hua Xia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hua Xia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 B |
Hua Xia Technical Analysis
Hua Xia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hua Xia Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hua Xia Predictive Forecast Models
Hua Xia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hua Xia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hua Xia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hua Xia Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hua Xia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hua Xia Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Hua Stock
Hua Xia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hua with respect to the benefits of owning Hua Xia security.