Poly Real (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.8
| 600048 Stock | 9.73 0.42 4.14% |
Poly |
Poly Real Target Price Odds to finish below 10.8
The tendency of Poly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 10.80 after 90 days |
| 9.73 | 90 days | 10.80 | about 83.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Poly Real to stay under 10.80 after 90 days from now is about 83.55 (This Poly Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Poly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Poly Real Estate price to stay between its current price of 9.73 and 10.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Poly Real Estate has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Poly Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Poly Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Poly Real Estate has an alpha of 0.363, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Poly Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Poly Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Poly Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Poly Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Poly Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Poly Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Poly Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Poly Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Poly Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Poly Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Poly Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Poly Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Market is not liking Poly Developments and Holdings Groups earnings decline as stock retreats 5.9 percent this week - Simply Wall St |
Poly Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Poly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Poly Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Poly Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12 B |
Poly Real Technical Analysis
Poly Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Poly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Poly Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Poly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Poly Real Predictive Forecast Models
Poly Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Poly Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Poly Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Poly Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Poly Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Poly Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Poly Real Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Market is not liking Poly Developments and Holdings Groups earnings decline as stock retreats 5.9 percent this week - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Poly Stock
Poly Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Poly Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Poly with respect to the benefits of owning Poly Real security.