Greattown Holdings (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.18
| 600094 Stock | 3.74 0.06 1.63% |
Greattown |
Greattown Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 3.18
The tendency of Greattown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.18 in 90 days |
| 3.74 | 90 days | 3.18 | about 89.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greattown Holdings to stay above 3.18 in 90 days from now is about 89.56 (This Greattown Holdings Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Greattown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greattown Holdings price to stay between 3.18 and its current price of 3.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Greattown Holdings has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Greattown Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Greattown Holdings Ltd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Greattown Holdings Ltd has an alpha of 0.2457, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Greattown Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Greattown Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greattown Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Greattown Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greattown Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greattown Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greattown Holdings Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greattown Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Greattown Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greattown Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greattown Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Greattown Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Greattown Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Greattown Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greattown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greattown Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greattown Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Greattown Holdings Technical Analysis
Greattown Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greattown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greattown Holdings Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greattown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Greattown Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Greattown Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Greattown Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Greattown Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Greattown Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Greattown Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greattown Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Greattown Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Greattown Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Greattown Stock
Greattown Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greattown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greattown with respect to the benefits of owning Greattown Holdings security.