Tibet Summit (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.17

600338 Stock   12.67  0.11  0.88%   
Tibet Summit's future price is the expected price of Tibet Summit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tibet Summit Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tibet Summit Backtesting, Tibet Summit Valuation, Tibet Summit Correlation, Tibet Summit Hype Analysis, Tibet Summit Volatility, Tibet Summit History as well as Tibet Summit Performance.
  
Please specify Tibet Summit's target price for which you would like Tibet Summit odds to be computed.

Tibet Summit Target Price Odds to finish below 9.17

The tendency of Tibet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.17  or more in 90 days
 12.67 90 days 9.17 
about 9.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tibet Summit to drop to  9.17  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.82 (This Tibet Summit Resources probability density function shows the probability of Tibet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tibet Summit Resources price to stay between  9.17  and its current price of 12.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tibet Summit Resources has a beta of -0.59. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tibet Summit are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tibet Summit Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tibet Summit Resources has an alpha of 0.5598, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tibet Summit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tibet Summit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tibet Summit Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.8512.0715.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.579.7913.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.4912.7115.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tibet Summit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tibet Summit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tibet Summit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tibet Summit Resources.

Tibet Summit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tibet Summit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tibet Summit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tibet Summit Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tibet Summit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.56
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Tibet Summit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tibet Summit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tibet Summit Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tibet Summit appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (215.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.42 B.
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intuit Inc Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail

Tibet Summit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tibet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tibet Summit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tibet Summit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding914.2 M
Dividends PaidM
Shares Float804.1 M

Tibet Summit Technical Analysis

Tibet Summit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tibet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tibet Summit Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tibet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tibet Summit Predictive Forecast Models

Tibet Summit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tibet Summit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tibet Summit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tibet Summit Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tibet Summit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tibet Summit Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tibet Summit appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (215.35 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.42 B.
About 16.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Intuit Inc Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail

Other Information on Investing in Tibet Stock

Tibet Summit financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tibet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tibet with respect to the benefits of owning Tibet Summit security.