Chinese Universe (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.95
| 600373 Stock | 12.43 0.52 4.02% |
Chinese |
Chinese Universe Target Price Odds to finish below 11.95
The tendency of Chinese Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 11.95 or more in 90 days |
| 12.43 | 90 days | 11.95 | about 1.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chinese Universe to drop to 11.95 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.73 (This Chinese Universe Publishing probability density function shows the probability of Chinese Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chinese Universe Pub price to stay between 11.95 and its current price of 12.43 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chinese Universe Publishing has a beta of -0.0718. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chinese Universe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chinese Universe Publishing is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chinese Universe Publishing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chinese Universe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chinese Universe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinese Universe Pub. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chinese Universe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chinese Universe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chinese Universe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chinese Universe Publishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chinese Universe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Chinese Universe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chinese Universe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chinese Universe Pub can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chinese Universe Pub generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chinese Universe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chinese Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chinese Universe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chinese Universe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Chinese Universe Technical Analysis
Chinese Universe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chinese Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chinese Universe Publishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chinese Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chinese Universe Predictive Forecast Models
Chinese Universe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chinese Universe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chinese Universe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chinese Universe Pub
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chinese Universe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chinese Universe Pub help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chinese Universe Pub generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Chinese Stock
Chinese Universe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chinese Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chinese with respect to the benefits of owning Chinese Universe security.