NARI Technology (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.46
| 600406 Stock | 24.91 0.05 0.20% |
NARI |
NARI Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 24.46
The tendency of NARI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 24.46 or more in 90 days |
| 24.91 | 90 days | 24.46 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NARI Technology to drop to 24.46 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This NARI Technology Co probability density function shows the probability of NARI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NARI Technology price to stay between 24.46 and its current price of 24.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NARI Technology Co has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NARI Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NARI Technology Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NARI Technology Co has an alpha of 0.0437, implying that it can generate a 0.0437 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NARI Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NARI Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NARI Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NARI Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NARI Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NARI Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NARI Technology Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NARI Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
NARI Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NARI Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NARI Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NARI Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NARI Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investing in NARI Technology five years ago would have delivered you a 122 percent gain - Simply Wall St |
NARI Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NARI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NARI Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NARI Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 B |
NARI Technology Technical Analysis
NARI Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NARI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NARI Technology Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing NARI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NARI Technology Predictive Forecast Models
NARI Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many NARI Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NARI Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NARI Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about NARI Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NARI Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NARI Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NARI Technology is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Investing in NARI Technology five years ago would have delivered you a 122 percent gain - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in NARI Stock
NARI Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether NARI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NARI with respect to the benefits of owning NARI Technology security.