ButOne Information (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.88

600455 Stock   23.48  0.11  0.47%   
ButOne Information's future price is the expected price of ButOne Information instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ButOne Information Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ButOne Information Backtesting, ButOne Information Valuation, ButOne Information Correlation, ButOne Information Hype Analysis, ButOne Information Volatility, ButOne Information History as well as ButOne Information Performance.
  
Please specify ButOne Information's target price for which you would like ButOne Information odds to be computed.

ButOne Information Target Price Odds to finish over 21.88

The tendency of ButOne Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  21.88  in 90 days
 23.48 90 days 21.88 
about 22.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ButOne Information to stay above  21.88  in 90 days from now is about 22.44 (This ButOne Information Corp probability density function shows the probability of ButOne Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ButOne Information Corp price to stay between  21.88  and its current price of 23.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ButOne Information Corp has a beta of -0.44. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ButOne Information are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ButOne Information Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ButOne Information Corp has an alpha of 0.7889, implying that it can generate a 0.79 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ButOne Information Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ButOne Information

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ButOne Information Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.1423.9827.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5618.4025.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.7424.5828.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.0022.5324.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ButOne Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ButOne Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ButOne Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ButOne Information Corp.

ButOne Information Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ButOne Information is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ButOne Information's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ButOne Information Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ButOne Information within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.79
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
3.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

ButOne Information Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ButOne Information for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ButOne Information Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ButOne Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ButOne Information Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ButOne Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ButOne Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ButOne Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.5 M

ButOne Information Technical Analysis

ButOne Information's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ButOne Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ButOne Information Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ButOne Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ButOne Information Predictive Forecast Models

ButOne Information's time-series forecasting models is one of many ButOne Information's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ButOne Information's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ButOne Information Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about ButOne Information for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ButOne Information Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ButOne Information appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in ButOne Stock

ButOne Information financial ratios help investors to determine whether ButOne Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ButOne with respect to the benefits of owning ButOne Information security.