Long Yuan (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.69
| 600491 Stock | 3.83 0.03 0.78% |
Long |
Long Yuan Target Price Odds to finish below 2.69
The tendency of Long Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.69 or more in 90 days |
| 3.83 | 90 days | 2.69 | about 18.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Long Yuan to drop to 2.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.31 (This Long Yuan Construction probability density function shows the probability of Long Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Long Yuan Construction price to stay between 2.69 and its current price of 3.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Long Yuan Construction has a beta of -0.79. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Long Yuan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Long Yuan Construction is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Long Yuan Construction has an alpha of 0.7726, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Long Yuan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Long Yuan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Long Yuan Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Long Yuan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Long Yuan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Long Yuan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Long Yuan Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Long Yuan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Long Yuan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Long Yuan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Long Yuan Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Long Yuan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.21 B. | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: China Resources Power shares dive 5.8 percent after firm raises US927 million via placement - MSN |
Long Yuan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Long Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Long Yuan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Long Yuan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Long Yuan Technical Analysis
Long Yuan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Long Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Long Yuan Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing Long Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Long Yuan Predictive Forecast Models
Long Yuan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Long Yuan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Long Yuan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Long Yuan Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Long Yuan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Long Yuan Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Long Yuan appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.21 B. | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: China Resources Power shares dive 5.8 percent after firm raises US927 million via placement - MSN |
Other Information on Investing in Long Stock
Long Yuan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Long Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Long with respect to the benefits of owning Long Yuan security.