Changjiang Jinggong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.45
| 600496 Stock | 3.08 0.04 1.32% |
Changjiang |
Changjiang Jinggong Target Price Odds to finish below 2.45
The tendency of Changjiang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.45 or more in 90 days |
| 3.08 | 90 days | 2.45 | about 16.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Changjiang Jinggong to drop to 2.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.55 (This Changjiang Jinggong Steel probability density function shows the probability of Changjiang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Changjiang Jinggong Steel price to stay between 2.45 and its current price of 3.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Changjiang Jinggong Steel has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Changjiang Jinggong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Changjiang Jinggong Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Changjiang Jinggong Steel has an alpha of 0.4576, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Changjiang Jinggong Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Changjiang Jinggong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Changjiang Jinggong Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Changjiang Jinggong Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Changjiang Jinggong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Changjiang Jinggong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Changjiang Jinggong Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Changjiang Jinggong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Changjiang Jinggong Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Changjiang Jinggong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Changjiang Jinggong Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Changjiang Jinggong is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Changjiang Jinggong Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Changjiang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Changjiang Jinggong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Changjiang Jinggong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
Changjiang Jinggong Technical Analysis
Changjiang Jinggong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Changjiang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Changjiang Jinggong Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Changjiang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Changjiang Jinggong Predictive Forecast Models
Changjiang Jinggong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Changjiang Jinggong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Changjiang Jinggong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Changjiang Jinggong Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Changjiang Jinggong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Changjiang Jinggong Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Changjiang Jinggong is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Changjiang Stock
Changjiang Jinggong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Changjiang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Changjiang with respect to the benefits of owning Changjiang Jinggong security.