CSSC Offshore (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.40

600685 Stock   24.48  0.20  0.82%   
CSSC Offshore's future price is the expected price of CSSC Offshore instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CSSC Offshore Marine performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CSSC Offshore Backtesting, CSSC Offshore Valuation, CSSC Offshore Correlation, CSSC Offshore Hype Analysis, CSSC Offshore Volatility, CSSC Offshore History as well as CSSC Offshore Performance.
  
Please specify CSSC Offshore's target price for which you would like CSSC Offshore odds to be computed.

CSSC Offshore Target Price Odds to finish over 33.40

The tendency of CSSC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  33.40  or more in 90 days
 24.48 90 days 33.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CSSC Offshore to move over  33.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CSSC Offshore Marine probability density function shows the probability of CSSC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CSSC Offshore Marine price to stay between its current price of  24.48  and  33.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CSSC Offshore has a beta of 0.0185. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CSSC Offshore average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CSSC Offshore Marine will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CSSC Offshore Marine has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CSSC Offshore Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CSSC Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CSSC Offshore Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7924.4827.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.2620.9526.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.1523.8426.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CSSC Offshore. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CSSC Offshore's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CSSC Offshore's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CSSC Offshore Marine.

CSSC Offshore Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CSSC Offshore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CSSC Offshore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CSSC Offshore Marine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CSSC Offshore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

CSSC Offshore Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CSSC Offshore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CSSC Offshore Marine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: CSSC Offshore Marine Engineerings 2024 Extraordinary Meeting - TipRanks

CSSC Offshore Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CSSC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CSSC Offshore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CSSC Offshore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

CSSC Offshore Technical Analysis

CSSC Offshore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CSSC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CSSC Offshore Marine. In general, you should focus on analyzing CSSC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CSSC Offshore Predictive Forecast Models

CSSC Offshore's time-series forecasting models is one of many CSSC Offshore's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CSSC Offshore's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CSSC Offshore Marine

Checking the ongoing alerts about CSSC Offshore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CSSC Offshore Marine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: CSSC Offshore Marine Engineerings 2024 Extraordinary Meeting - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in CSSC Stock

CSSC Offshore financial ratios help investors to determine whether CSSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CSSC with respect to the benefits of owning CSSC Offshore security.