Dalian Thermal (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.97
| 600719 Stock | 7.90 0.15 1.86% |
Dalian |
Dalian Thermal Target Price Odds to finish over 12.97
The tendency of Dalian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 12.97 or more in 90 days |
| 7.90 | 90 days | 12.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dalian Thermal to move over 12.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dalian Thermal Power probability density function shows the probability of Dalian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dalian Thermal Power price to stay between its current price of 7.90 and 12.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This suggests Dalian Thermal Power market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dalian Thermal is expected to follow. Additionally Dalian Thermal Power has an alpha of 0.3488, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dalian Thermal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dalian Thermal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dalian Thermal Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dalian Thermal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dalian Thermal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dalian Thermal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dalian Thermal Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dalian Thermal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Dalian Thermal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dalian Thermal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dalian Thermal Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dalian Thermal Power appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Dalian Thermal generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Dalian Thermal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dalian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dalian Thermal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dalian Thermal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 404.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 84.5 M | |
| Shares Float | 264.9 M |
Dalian Thermal Technical Analysis
Dalian Thermal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dalian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dalian Thermal Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dalian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dalian Thermal Predictive Forecast Models
Dalian Thermal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dalian Thermal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dalian Thermal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dalian Thermal Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dalian Thermal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dalian Thermal Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dalian Thermal Power appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Dalian Thermal generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Dalian Stock
Dalian Thermal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dalian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dalian with respect to the benefits of owning Dalian Thermal security.