Fujian Oriental (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.93

600753 Stock   7.32  0.03  0.41%   
Fujian Oriental's future price is the expected price of Fujian Oriental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fujian Oriental Silver performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fujian Oriental Backtesting, Fujian Oriental Valuation, Fujian Oriental Correlation, Fujian Oriental Hype Analysis, Fujian Oriental Volatility, Fujian Oriental History as well as Fujian Oriental Performance.
  
Please specify Fujian Oriental's target price for which you would like Fujian Oriental odds to be computed.

Fujian Oriental Target Price Odds to finish below 6.93

The tendency of Fujian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6.93  or more in 90 days
 7.32 90 days 6.93 
about 64.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fujian Oriental to drop to  6.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 64.6 (This Fujian Oriental Silver probability density function shows the probability of Fujian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fujian Oriental Silver price to stay between  6.93  and its current price of 7.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fujian Oriental Silver has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fujian Oriental are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fujian Oriental Silver is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fujian Oriental Silver has an alpha of 0.5356, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fujian Oriental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fujian Oriental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Oriental Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.317.2111.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.065.969.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.817.7111.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Oriental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Oriental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Oriental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Oriental Silver.

Fujian Oriental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fujian Oriental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fujian Oriental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fujian Oriental Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fujian Oriental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Fujian Oriental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fujian Oriental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fujian Oriental Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Oriental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 818.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.26 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Fujian Oriental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fujian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fujian Oriental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fujian Oriental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding230.3 M

Fujian Oriental Technical Analysis

Fujian Oriental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fujian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fujian Oriental Silver. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fujian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fujian Oriental Predictive Forecast Models

Fujian Oriental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fujian Oriental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fujian Oriental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fujian Oriental Silver

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fujian Oriental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fujian Oriental Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Oriental appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 818.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.26 M.
About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Oriental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Oriental security.