Luyin Investment (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.73

600784 Stock   6.46  0.06  0.92%   
Luyin Investment's future price is the expected price of Luyin Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Luyin Investment Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Luyin Investment Backtesting, Luyin Investment Valuation, Luyin Investment Correlation, Luyin Investment Hype Analysis, Luyin Investment Volatility, Luyin Investment History as well as Luyin Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Luyin Investment's target price for which you would like Luyin Investment odds to be computed.

Luyin Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 13.73

The tendency of Luyin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.73  or more in 90 days
 6.46 90 days 13.73 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luyin Investment to move over  13.73  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Luyin Investment Group probability density function shows the probability of Luyin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Luyin Investment price to stay between its current price of  6.46  and  13.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Luyin Investment has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Luyin Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Luyin Investment Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Luyin Investment Group has an alpha of 0.4935, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Luyin Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Luyin Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luyin Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.286.649.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.077.439.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.206.568.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Luyin Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Luyin Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Luyin Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Luyin Investment.

Luyin Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luyin Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luyin Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luyin Investment Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luyin Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Luyin Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luyin Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luyin Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Luyin Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luyin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luyin Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luyin Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding675.7 M

Luyin Investment Technical Analysis

Luyin Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Luyin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Luyin Investment Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Luyin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Luyin Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Luyin Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Luyin Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Luyin Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Luyin Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Luyin Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Luyin Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Luyin Stock

Luyin Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Luyin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Luyin with respect to the benefits of owning Luyin Investment security.