Dr Peng (China) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.94
| 600804 Stock | 2.19 0.02 0.92% |
600804 |
Dr Peng Target Price Odds to finish below 1.94
The tendency of 600804 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.94 or more in 90 days |
| 2.19 | 90 days | 1.94 | about 77.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dr Peng to drop to 1.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.51 (This Dr Peng Telecom probability density function shows the probability of 600804 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dr Peng Telecom price to stay between 1.94 and its current price of 2.19 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dr Peng Telecom has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dr Peng are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dr Peng Telecom is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dr Peng Telecom has an alpha of 0.7061, implying that it can generate a 0.71 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dr Peng Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dr Peng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dr Peng Telecom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dr Peng Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dr Peng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dr Peng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dr Peng Telecom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dr Peng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Dr Peng Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dr Peng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dr Peng Telecom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dr Peng Telecom appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (93.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 691.51 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Theres No Escaping Dr. Peng Telecom Media Group Co., Ltd.s Muted Revenues Despite A 30 percent Share Price Rise - Simply Wall St |
Dr Peng Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 600804 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dr Peng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dr Peng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -38.4 M |
Dr Peng Technical Analysis
Dr Peng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 600804 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dr Peng Telecom. In general, you should focus on analyzing 600804 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dr Peng Predictive Forecast Models
Dr Peng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dr Peng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dr Peng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dr Peng Telecom
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dr Peng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dr Peng Telecom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dr Peng Telecom appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.61 B. Net Loss for the year was (93.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 691.51 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Theres No Escaping Dr. Peng Telecom Media Group Co., Ltd.s Muted Revenues Despite A 30 percent Share Price Rise - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in 600804 Stock
Dr Peng financial ratios help investors to determine whether 600804 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 600804 with respect to the benefits of owning Dr Peng security.