Danhua Chemical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.07
| 600844 Stock | 3.33 0.09 2.63% |
Danhua |
Danhua Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 7.07
The tendency of Danhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 7.07 or more in 90 days |
| 3.33 | 90 days | 7.07 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Danhua Chemical to move over 7.07 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Danhua Chemical Technology probability density function shows the probability of Danhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Danhua Chemical Tech price to stay between its current price of 3.33 and 7.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Danhua Chemical Technology has a beta of -0.48. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Danhua Chemical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Danhua Chemical Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Danhua Chemical Technology has an alpha of 0.6634, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Danhua Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Danhua Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danhua Chemical Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Danhua Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Danhua Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Danhua Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Danhua Chemical Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Danhua Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Danhua Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Danhua Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Danhua Chemical Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Danhua Chemical Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 861.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (392.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.12 M. | |
| Danhua Chemical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Yang Jun Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Danhua Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Danhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Danhua Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danhua Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Danhua Chemical Technical Analysis
Danhua Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Danhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Danhua Chemical Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Danhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Danhua Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Danhua Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Danhua Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Danhua Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Danhua Chemical Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Danhua Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Danhua Chemical Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Danhua Chemical Tech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 861.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (392.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.12 M. | |
| Danhua Chemical generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Yang Jun Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Danhua Stock
Danhua Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danhua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danhua with respect to the benefits of owning Danhua Chemical security.