China Yangtze (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.44

600900 Stock   27.26  0.36  1.30%   
China Yangtze's future price is the expected price of China Yangtze instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Yangtze Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Yangtze Backtesting, China Yangtze Valuation, China Yangtze Correlation, China Yangtze Hype Analysis, China Yangtze Volatility, China Yangtze History as well as China Yangtze Performance.
  
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China Yangtze Target Price Odds to finish over 26.44

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  26.44  in 90 days
 27.26 90 days 26.44 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Yangtze to stay above  26.44  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This China Yangtze Power probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Yangtze Power price to stay between  26.44  and its current price of 27.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Yangtze Power has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Yangtze are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Yangtze Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Yangtze Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   China Yangtze Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Yangtze

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Yangtze Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0027.3028.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1723.4729.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.3427.6428.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

China Yangtze Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Yangtze is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Yangtze's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Yangtze Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Yangtze within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

China Yangtze Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Yangtze for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Yangtze Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Yangtze Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why China Yangtze Power Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly - Simply Wall St

China Yangtze Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Yangtze's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Yangtze's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.5 B

China Yangtze Technical Analysis

China Yangtze's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Yangtze Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Yangtze Predictive Forecast Models

China Yangtze's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Yangtze's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Yangtze's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Yangtze Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Yangtze for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Yangtze Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Yangtze Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why China Yangtze Power Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Yangtze financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Yangtze security.