Shaanxi Construction (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.09
| 600984 Stock | 3.32 0.01 0.30% |
Shaanxi |
Shaanxi Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 3.09
The tendency of Shaanxi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.09 or more in 90 days |
| 3.32 | 90 days | 3.09 | about 62.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shaanxi Construction to drop to 3.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.33 (This Shaanxi Construction Machinery probability density function shows the probability of Shaanxi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shaanxi Construction price to stay between 3.09 and its current price of 3.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shaanxi Construction Machinery has a beta of -0.84. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Shaanxi Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Shaanxi Construction Machinery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Shaanxi Construction Machinery has an alpha of 0.727, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Shaanxi Construction Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shaanxi Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shaanxi Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shaanxi Construction Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shaanxi Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shaanxi Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shaanxi Construction Machinery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shaanxi Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Shaanxi Construction Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shaanxi Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shaanxi Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shaanxi Construction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (744.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 853.98 M. | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shaanxi Construction Machinery Co.,Ltd Soars 26 percent But Its A Story Of Risk Vs Reward - Simply Wall St |
Shaanxi Construction Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shaanxi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shaanxi Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shaanxi Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B |
Shaanxi Construction Technical Analysis
Shaanxi Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shaanxi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shaanxi Construction Machinery. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shaanxi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shaanxi Construction Predictive Forecast Models
Shaanxi Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shaanxi Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shaanxi Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shaanxi Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shaanxi Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shaanxi Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shaanxi Construction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.23 B. Net Loss for the year was (744.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 853.98 M. | |
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Shaanxi Construction Machinery Co.,Ltd Soars 26 percent But Its A Story Of Risk Vs Reward - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Shaanxi Stock
Shaanxi Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shaanxi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shaanxi with respect to the benefits of owning Shaanxi Construction security.