Huaibei Mining (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.41

600985 Stock   14.74  0.14  0.96%   
Huaibei Mining's future price is the expected price of Huaibei Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Huaibei Mining Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Huaibei Mining Backtesting, Huaibei Mining Valuation, Huaibei Mining Correlation, Huaibei Mining Hype Analysis, Huaibei Mining Volatility, Huaibei Mining History as well as Huaibei Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Huaibei Mining's target price for which you would like Huaibei Mining odds to be computed.

Huaibei Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 15.41

The tendency of Huaibei Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  15.41  or more in 90 days
 14.74 90 days 15.41 
about 40.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huaibei Mining to move over  15.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.75 (This Huaibei Mining Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Huaibei Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huaibei Mining Holdings price to stay between its current price of  14.74  and  15.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huaibei Mining Holdings has a beta of -0.93. This suggests Additionally Huaibei Mining Holdings has an alpha of 0.1724, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Huaibei Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Huaibei Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huaibei Mining Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.8414.7417.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8112.7115.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.0414.9417.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.640.680.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huaibei Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huaibei Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huaibei Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Huaibei Mining Holdings.

Huaibei Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huaibei Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huaibei Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huaibei Mining Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huaibei Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Huaibei Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huaibei Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huaibei Mining Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaibei Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Huaibei Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huaibei Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huaibei Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huaibei Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B

Huaibei Mining Technical Analysis

Huaibei Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huaibei Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huaibei Mining Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huaibei Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Huaibei Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Huaibei Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huaibei Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huaibei Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Huaibei Mining Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Huaibei Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huaibei Mining Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Huaibei Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Huaibei Stock

Huaibei Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huaibei Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huaibei with respect to the benefits of owning Huaibei Mining security.