Camel Group (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.11
| 601311 Stock | 8.69 0.05 0.58% |
Camel |
Camel Group Target Price Odds to finish below 7.11
The tendency of Camel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.11 or more in 90 days |
| 8.69 | 90 days | 7.11 | about 5.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Camel Group to drop to 7.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.68 (This Camel Group Co probability density function shows the probability of Camel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Camel Group price to stay between 7.11 and its current price of 8.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Camel Group Co has a beta of -0.26. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Camel Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Camel Group Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Camel Group Co has an alpha of 0.3449, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Camel Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Camel Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camel Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Camel Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Camel Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Camel Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Camel Group Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Camel Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Camel Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Camel Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Camel Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Camel Group stock falls 3.4 percent in past week as three-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend - Simply Wall St |
Camel Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Camel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Camel Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camel Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 293.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 769.8 M |
Camel Group Technical Analysis
Camel Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Camel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Camel Group Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Camel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Camel Group Predictive Forecast Models
Camel Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Camel Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Camel Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Camel Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Camel Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Camel Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Camel Group stock falls 3.4 percent in past week as three-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Camel Stock
Camel Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Camel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Camel with respect to the benefits of owning Camel Group security.