China Pacific (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.22
| 601601 Stock | 33.90 0.48 1.44% |
China |
China Pacific Target Price Odds to finish below 30.22
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 30.22 or more in 90 days |
| 33.90 | 90 days | 30.22 | about 14.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Pacific to drop to 30.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.42 (This China Pacific Insurance probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Pacific Insurance price to stay between 30.22 and its current price of 33.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Pacific has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, China Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Pacific Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Pacific Insurance has an alpha of 0.2293, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Pacific Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Pacific Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
China Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Pacific Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Pacific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: China Pacific Insurance Reports Growth in Premium Income - TipRanks |
China Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 B |
China Pacific Technical Analysis
China Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Pacific Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
China Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Pacific Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Pacific Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Pacific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: China Pacific Insurance Reports Growth in Premium Income - TipRanks |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Pacific security.