Xinhua Winshare (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.80
| 601811 Stock | 14.58 0.24 1.67% |
Xinhua |
Xinhua Winshare Target Price Odds to finish over 16.80
The tendency of Xinhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.80 or more in 90 days |
| 14.58 | 90 days | 16.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinhua Winshare to move over 16.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Xinhua Winshare Publishing probability density function shows the probability of Xinhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinhua Winshare Publ price to stay between its current price of 14.58 and 16.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xinhua Winshare has a beta of 0.0326. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Xinhua Winshare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xinhua Winshare Publishing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xinhua Winshare Publishing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xinhua Winshare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xinhua Winshare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinhua Winshare Publ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xinhua Winshare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinhua Winshare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinhua Winshare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinhua Winshare Publishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinhua Winshare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Xinhua Winshare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinhua Winshare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinhua Winshare Publ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Xinhua Winshare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinhua Winshare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinhua Winshare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Xinhua Winshare Technical Analysis
Xinhua Winshare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinhua Winshare Publishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xinhua Winshare Predictive Forecast Models
Xinhua Winshare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinhua Winshare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinhua Winshare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xinhua Winshare Publ
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinhua Winshare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinhua Winshare Publ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Xinhua Stock
Xinhua Winshare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinhua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinhua with respect to the benefits of owning Xinhua Winshare security.