Jiangyin Jianghua (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.39
| 603078 Stock | 17.58 0.11 0.62% |
Jiangyin |
Jiangyin Jianghua Target Price Odds to finish over 16.39
The tendency of Jiangyin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 16.39 in 90 days |
| 17.58 | 90 days | 16.39 | about 11.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jiangyin Jianghua to stay above 16.39 in 90 days from now is about 11.53 (This Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics probability density function shows the probability of Jiangyin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jiangyin Jianghua price to stay between 16.39 and its current price of 17.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics has a beta of -0.0934. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jiangyin Jianghua are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics has an alpha of 0.4562, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jiangyin Jianghua Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jiangyin Jianghua
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangyin Jianghua. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jiangyin Jianghua Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jiangyin Jianghua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jiangyin Jianghua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jiangyin Jianghua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Jiangyin Jianghua Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jiangyin Jianghua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jiangyin Jianghua can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jiangyin Jianghua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Electronic Grade Hydrogen Peroxide Market Size, Share, Growth 2031 - openPR |
Jiangyin Jianghua Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jiangyin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jiangyin Jianghua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiangyin Jianghua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 385.6 M |
Jiangyin Jianghua Technical Analysis
Jiangyin Jianghua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jiangyin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jiangyin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jiangyin Jianghua Predictive Forecast Models
Jiangyin Jianghua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jiangyin Jianghua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jiangyin Jianghua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jiangyin Jianghua
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jiangyin Jianghua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jiangyin Jianghua help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jiangyin Jianghua appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Electronic Grade Hydrogen Peroxide Market Size, Share, Growth 2031 - openPR |
Other Information on Investing in Jiangyin Stock
Jiangyin Jianghua financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangyin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangyin with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangyin Jianghua security.