Great Sun (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.58
| 603336 Stock | 4.64 0.19 3.93% |
Great |
Great Sun Target Price Odds to finish below 4.58
The tendency of Great Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.58 or more in 90 days |
| 4.64 | 90 days | 4.58 | about 75.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great Sun to drop to 4.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.72 (This Great Sun Foods Co probability density function shows the probability of Great Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Sun Foods price to stay between 4.58 and its current price of 4.64 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Great Sun has a beta of 0.73. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Great Sun average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great Sun Foods Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great Sun Foods Co has an alpha of 0.5442, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Great Sun Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great Sun
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Sun Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great Sun Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great Sun is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great Sun's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Sun Foods Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great Sun within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Great Sun Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great Sun for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Sun Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great Sun Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Great Sun Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Great Sun generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Jun Hui Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Great Sun Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great Sun's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great Sun's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 570.4 M |
Great Sun Technical Analysis
Great Sun's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Sun Foods Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great Sun Predictive Forecast Models
Great Sun's time-series forecasting models is one of many Great Sun's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great Sun's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great Sun Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great Sun for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Sun Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great Sun Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Great Sun Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Great Sun generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Huang Jun Hui Net Worth - GuruFocus.com |
Other Information on Investing in Great Stock
Great Sun financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great Sun security.