China Kings (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.35

603505 Stock   23.95  0.16  0.67%   
China Kings' future price is the expected price of China Kings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Kings Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Kings Backtesting, China Kings Valuation, China Kings Correlation, China Kings Hype Analysis, China Kings Volatility, China Kings History as well as China Kings Performance.
  
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China Kings Target Price Odds to finish over 26.35

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.35  or more in 90 days
 23.95 90 days 26.35 
about 27.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Kings to move over  26.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.46 (This China Kings Resources probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Kings Resources price to stay between its current price of  23.95  and  26.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Kings has a beta of 0.14. This suggests as returns on the market go up, China Kings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Kings Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally China Kings Resources has an alpha of 0.008, implying that it can generate a 0.00796 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Kings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Kings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Kings Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0524.0126.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9520.9126.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

China Kings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Kings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Kings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Kings Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Kings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

China Kings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Kings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Kings Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: China Kings Resources GroupLtds earnings growth rate lags the 31 percent CAGR delivered to shareholders - Simply Wall St

China Kings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Kings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Kings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding604.8 M

China Kings Technical Analysis

China Kings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Kings Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Kings Predictive Forecast Models

China Kings' time-series forecasting models is one of many China Kings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Kings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Kings Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Kings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Kings Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: China Kings Resources GroupLtds earnings growth rate lags the 31 percent CAGR delivered to shareholders - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Kings financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Kings security.